2010 Market Changes |
03/31/10 |
12/31/09 |
Change |
Dow Jones Industrial Average |
10,856.63 |
10,428.05 |
4.11% |
Standard & Poor’s 500 Index |
1,169.43 |
1,115.10 |
4.87% |
| |
10-Year Treasury Note Yield |
3.99% |
3.82% |
.17% |
30-Year Treasury Note Yield |
4.84% |
4.64% |
.20% |
The new healthcare plan (PPAC) is now law having been signed by President Obama on March 30, 2010. We now need to try and understand how the 2,000 plus pages of legislation that was passed by a vote of 219 to 212 in the house is really going to change healthcare and the cost of administering it in the U.S. The majority of the changes in mandated insurance care do not come into effect until 2014.
The bill basically mandates that most individuals are to have at least a minimum level of healthcare coverage. The main source of making the insurance available will be through providing incentives and/or imposing penalties through employers. The Act is not designed to eliminate insurance plans that employers now have in existence (although that may happen in some cases). It is intended to provide healthcare coverage to the 32 million uninsured Americans who currently do not have coverage.
Some of the major parts of the Act are:
- Tax incentives for smaller employers to provide coverage
- Penalties to employers who do not provide minimum essential coverage
- Penalties on individuals not otherwise eligible for Medicaid, Medicare or other government sponsored coverage who do not maintain qualifying medical insurance
- Premium assistance in the form of tax credits will be available to qualifying individuals to help them pay for coverage
- The bill bars insurers from rejecting people with pre-existing conditions and does not allow caps or lifetime limits (Greg added this).
- Qualified smaller businesses will be able to buy insurance through state based programs
The cost of this healthcare reform is estimated to be $940 billion over the next 10 years. How is this going to be paid for? The new revenue sources include:
- Raising taxes on higher income individuals
- Health insurance providers will be subject to an annual fee
- There will also be an annual flat fee on businesses that manufacture or import branded prescription drugs
- There will be a 2.3% excise tax on the sale of certain medical devices
- The Bush tax cuts will be allowed to expire this year causing the top individual tax rates to increase in 2011 to 39.6% and the tax rate on long term capital gains and dividends will increase to 20%.
So now, after almost 100 years dating back to the Theodore Roosevelt Administration, we have healthcare reform. Already there are 14 or more states that are looking to take this to the courts as they contend we cannot mandate individuals to purchase insurance. In the information we have received there are so many exceptions that there will still probably be millions of people without insurance coverage. With four more years before the mandates take effect and with two congressional elections and one presidential election amendments will be added. People do not like changes that appear to be forced at them. Congress and the President have done a poor job of educating the public on a very significant and personal change in their lives. We need to do our best to understand exactly what this bill means and express our concerns to our legislators.
The doctor states, “I contend that our nation’s healthcare crisis is not the result of a shortage of quality hospitals, doctors, or nurses. Rather it is a result of a crisis of culture, a culture in which it is perfectly acceptable to spend money on luxuries and vices while refusing to take care of oneself or, heaven forbid, purchase health insurance. It is a culture based on the irresponsible credo that, “I can do whatever I want to because someone else will always take care of me”. Once you fix this cultural crisis that rewards irresponsibility and dependency, you’ll be amazed at how quickly our nation’s healthcare difficulties will disappear.”
After an early January slight downturn in the market we have seen fairly steady increases in the market on a week-to-week basis. The S & P Index is up approximately 73% since it hit a bottom in March of 2009. This is a very significant increase in the market without at least a moderate pull back. With the summer months coming up and a look in history, a 10% to 15% decline by September certainly would not be unprecedented. This would build a good base for the market to reach a higher point than the 11,000 mark on the Dow Jones Industrial Average by the end of this year.
Interest rates have inched up slightly during the last quarter. We feel this trend will continue as the economy shows some expansion and the demand for more borrowed dollars rises. The Federal Reserve has continued to keep interest rates low, but we feel that trend will change as the year 2010 heads into the fall and winter quarter.
One Final Reminder: Starting in 2010, taxpayers with modified adjusted gross income of more than $100,000 will be allowed to convert a traditional IRA to a Roth IRA. This change applies to all years beyond 2010 - with income taxes due on the 2010 conversion payable over two years. The 2010 conversion amount may be included as taxable income in 2011 and 2012. Conversions in subsequent years are included in income during the tax year in which the conversion is completed. Removing the Roth IRA conversion cap doesn't mean anyone can fund a Roth IRA, but it does mean that anyone can convert an existing IRA to a Roth IRA. It’s a good idea to consult with a tax professional before deciding if taking advantage of the rule change in 2010 is right for you. As always, please let us know if we can be of any assistance in the process.
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